Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
206 Southern 0.0%   16 - 13 15 - 3 16 - 13 15 - 3 -2.4      -5.8 305 +3.3 87 70.4 112 -5.3 252 -1.9 1
257 Texas Southern 100.0%   16   18 - 14 12 - 6 18 - 14 12 - 6 -5.2      +0.1 173 -5.3 309 70.6 106 -5.8 261 -7.0 3
300 Alabama St. 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 6 16 - 12 12 - 6 -9.0      -5.8 306 -3.2 254 71.0 97 -6.5 272 -6.4 2
305 Jackson St. 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 11 - 20 7 - 11 -9.6      -7.9 334 -1.6 217 68.3 161 -10.9 318 -13.7 7
310 Alabama A&M 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 8 12 - 16 10 - 8 -9.8      -9.3 346 -0.5 186 66.7 206 -9.9 310 -9.4 5
323 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   11 - 18 11 - 7 11 - 18 11 - 7 -11.5      -9.2 345 -2.2 229 68.6 157 -9.5 302 -7.7 4
326 Alcorn St. 0.0%   9 - 19 9 - 9 9 - 19 9 - 9 -12.0      -6.8 319 -5.2 305 61.0 326 -12.3 322 -10.7 6
329 Prairie View 0.0%   10 - 23 6 - 12 10 - 23 6 - 12 -12.3      -6.7 317 -5.6 316 70.2 117 -12.6 325 -14.9 8
348 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   6 - 23 5 - 13 6 - 23 5 - 13 -16.6      -9.0 341 -7.6 335 82.7 6 -15.8 341 -15.7 9
351 Grambling St. 0.0%   4 - 23 3 - 15 4 - 23 3 - 15 -18.4      -6.3 313 -12.1 351 71.2 94 -18.1 348 -19.5 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Southern 1.0 100.0
Texas Southern 2.0 100.0
Alabama St. 2.0 100.0
Jackson St. 7.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 5.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 6.0 100.0
Prairie View 8.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 9.0 100.0
Grambling St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Southern 15 - 3 100.0
Texas Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama St. 12 - 6 100.0
Jackson St. 7 - 11 100.0
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 11 - 7 100.0
Alcorn St. 9 - 9 100.0
Prairie View 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi Valley 5 - 13 100.0
Grambling St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southern 100.0% 100.0
Texas Southern
Alabama St.
Jackson St.
Alabama A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Alcorn St.
Prairie View
Mississippi Valley
Grambling St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 37.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 37.7% 0.4 62.3 37.7
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0